Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.035171 0.038325 0.041501 0.044932 0.048528 0.052179 0.056161
2025-11-23 0.030988 0.035729 0.040656 0.046136 0.052037 0.058179 0.065034
2025-11-30 0.027702 0.033613 0.039932 0.047135 0.055067 0.063487 0.073054
2025-12-07 0.024862 0.031641 0.039078 0.047743 0.057471 0.067970 0.080076
2025-12-14 0.022245 0.029648 0.037970 0.047866 0.059168 0.071544 0.085997
2025-12-21 0.020647 0.028662 0.037865 0.048995 0.061889 0.076176 0.093029
2025-12-28 0.018224 0.026494 0.036219 0.048200 0.062293 0.078101 0.096942
2026-01-04 0.016640 0.025218 0.035518 0.048413 0.063775 0.081184 0.102109
2026-01-11 0.015483 0.024380 0.035268 0.049094 0.065748 0.084788 0.107839
2026-01-18 0.014404 0.023559 0.034972 0.049661 0.067542 0.088151 0.113268
2026-01-25 0.012441 0.021436 0.032937 0.048004 0.066596 0.088247 0.114856
2026-02-01 0.011170 0.020154 0.031894 0.047509 0.066996 0.089881 0.118198
2026-02-08 0.010062 0.019048 0.031053 0.047262 0.067713 0.091930 0.122089
2026-02-15 0.009650 0.018907 0.031471 0.048613 0.070403 0.096349 0.128801
2026-02-22 0.009174 0.018637 0.031693 0.049696 0.072756 0.100365 0.135048
2026-03-01 0.008587 0.018158 0.031601 0.050349 0.074557 0.103710 0.140496
2026-03-08 0.007878 0.017439 0.031139 0.050488 0.075689 0.106228 0.144947
2026-03-15 0.007551 0.017296 0.031466 0.051659 0.078124 0.110337 0.151316
2026-03-22 0.006653 0.016162 0.030337 0.050841 0.077989 0.111269 0.153836
2026-03-29 0.006126 0.015597 0.029995 0.051062 0.079169 0.113811 0.158297
2026-04-05 0.005769 0.015296 0.030018 0.051765 0.080963 0.117107 0.163672
2026-04-12 0.005408 0.014956 0.029965 0.052351 0.082597 0.120199 0.168801
2026-04-19 0.004521 0.013582 0.028296 0.050641 0.081181 0.119450 0.169202